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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 5/7/20052006
1.A OVERLAND DEPRESSION 7

2.A POSITION 2006/01/04 AT 1800 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.3S / 35.3E
(TWENTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 20 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 600 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2006/01/05 06 UTC: 22.9S/34.4E, MAX WIND=020KT, OVERLAND.
24H: 2006/01/05 18 UTC: 24.0S/33.5E FILLING UP.
36H: 2006/01/06 06 UTC: DISSIPATED.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM HAS MADE A LANDFALL IN THE SOUTHERN VICINITY OF VILANCULOS, LIKELY AROUND 1500Z.
IT SHOULD WEAKEN OVER LAND, BUT GENERATE STRONG STORMY ACTIVITY WITH HEAVY RAINFALLS AND STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.