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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 6/7/20052006
1.A OVERLAND DEPRESSION 7

2.A POSITION 2006/01/05 AT 0000 UTC :
WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.0S / 35.0E
(TWENTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE :
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 20 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 700 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2006/01/05 12 UTC: 24.0S/34.5E OVERLAND.
24H: 2006/01/06 00 UTC: 25.0S/34.1E FILLING UP.
36H: 2006/01/06 12 UTC: DISSIPATED.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
CENTRE IS OVERLAND BUT THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO TRACK ALONG THE COAST.
FRENCH AND EUROPEAN MODELS TRACK THE SYSTEM BACK TO SEA AROUND 25S OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITHOUT DEEPENING IT SIGNIFICANTLY, WHEREAS ENGLISH MODEL DISSIPATES IT.
ASSOCIATED CLUSTERS GENERATE STRONG STORMY ACTIVITY WITH HEAVY RAINFALLS AND STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.