Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/7/20052006 1.A OVERLAND DEPRESSION 7 2.A POSITION 2006/01/05 AT 0600 UTC : 24.2S / 35.1E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY FIVE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1003 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/01/05 18 UTC: 25.5S/34.6E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H: 2006/01/06 06 UTC: 26.8S/33.9E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 36H: 2006/01/06 18 UTC: 28.4S/33.0E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 48H: 2006/01/07 06 UTC: 29.9S/32.2E BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/01/07 18 UTC: 31.8S/32.0E EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2006/01/08 06 UTC: 33.6S/33.0E DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CENTRE IS OVERLAND BUT THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING NOW SOUTHWARDS ALONG THE COAST. IT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK BACK TO SEA DURING THE NEXT HOURS WITHOUT DEEPENING IT SIGNIFICANTLY, WHEREAS ENGLISH MODEL DISSIPATES IT. ASSOCIATED CLUSTERS MAINLY LOCATED OVER SEA, GENERATE STRONG STORMY ACTIVITY WITH HEAVY RAINFALLS AND STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.