Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 20/8/20052006 1.A OVERLAND DEPRESSION 8 (EX-BOLOETSE) 2.A POSITION 2006/01/29 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.7S / 48.2E (TWENTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1004 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: SE: 100 SO: NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/01/29 12 UTC: 20.7S/47.0E OVERLAND. 24H: 2006/01/30 00 UTC: 21.1S/45.7E DISSIPATING. 36H: 2006/01/30 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW HAS MADE LANDFALL LIGHLY NORTH OF MANANJARY. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY, GENERATING THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALLS, HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE CENTER ALL THE NIGHT, IT IS IMPORTANT OVER A WIDE CENTRAL AREA OF MADAGASCAR. ASSOCIATED WINDS ARE RATHER WEAK, BUT STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS MAY BE OBSERVED OVER SEAS AND DURING THE LANDSCAPE. THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION SHOULD DESORGANISED DUNRING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, BUT HEAVY RAINFALL AND THUNDERSTOMS ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN IMPORTANT.