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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47



RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 49/8/20052006
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 8 (BOLOETSE)

2.A POSITION 2006/02/05 AT 1200 UTC :
30.4S / 47.9E
(THIRTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SEVEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/4.0 /W 1.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 975 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 250 SE: 450 SO: 200 NO: 200
50 KT NE: 050 SE: 080 SO: 060 NO: 050

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2006/02/06 00 UTC: 32.8S/51.2E, MAX WIND=050KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.
24H: 2006/02/06 12 UTC: 35.0S/55.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
36H: 2006/02/07 00 UTC: 37.0S/60.5E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
48H: 2006/02/07 12 UTC: 39.0S/66.0E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
60H: 2006/02/08 00 UTC: 40.2S/72.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
72H: 2006/02/08 12 UTC: 40.8S/78.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.
LOCATED BETWEEN A HIGH CENTRED OVER MASCARENES ISLANDS AND A POLAR TROUGH, THE SYSTEM HAS ACCELERATED SOUTHEASTWARDS AND EVACUATES TOWARDS EXTRATROPICAL LATITUDES.