Back to the RSMC advisories list
Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47



RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 52/8/20052006
1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 8 (EX-BOLOETSE)

2.A POSITION 2006/02/06 AT 0600 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 35.2S / 55.2E
(THIRTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 988 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 350 SE: 250 SO: 250 NO: 300
50 KT NE: 130 SE: 100 SO: 100 NO: 080

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2006/02/06 18 UTC: 38.6S/61.8E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
24H: 2006/02/07 06 UTC: 42.1S/70.6E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
36H: 2006/02/07 18 UTC: 45.0S/80.0E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
48H: 2006/02/08 06 UTC: 46.5S/90.0E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE CIRCULATION IS MORE AND MORE ASYMETRIC, ELONGATED FROM THE NORTH TO THE SOUTH, WITH STRONG WINDS EXTENDING FAR FROM THE CENTER MAINLY IN THE NORTHEASTERN PART DUE TO THE OWN SPEED OF THE LOW.
IT SHOULD TRACK BETWEEN KERGUELEN AND AMSTERDAM ISLANDS ON THE 07.