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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 22/11/20052006
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA)

2.A POSITION 2006/03/07 AT 1800 UTC :
25.2S / 54.6E
(TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/3.5 /S
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 350 SE: 500 SO: 500 NO: 200
50 KT NE: 020 SE: 040 SO: 040 NO: 020

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1200 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2006/03/08 06 UTC: 26.9S/55.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.
24H: 2006/03/08 18 UTC: 29.5S/56.6E, MAX WIND=050KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.
36H: 2006/03/09 06 UTC: 32.5S/57.7E, MAX WIND=050KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.
48H: 2006/03/09 18 UTC: 35.5S/61.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
60H: 2006/03/10 06 UTC: 38.0S/66.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
72H: 2006/03/10 18 UTC: 41.0S/71.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
DIWA IS CURRENTLY TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARDS.
BEYOND THE NEXT 12 HOURS, DIWA IS EXPECTED TO SPEED UP, FOLLOWING A SOUTHEASTWARDS TRACK TOWARDS THE TROUGH AND BEGIN THE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION.