Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 23/11/20052006 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/08 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.2S / 54.9E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.5 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 350 SE: 500 SO: 500 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 020 SE: 040 SO: 040 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/08 12 UTC: 28.8S/56.4E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/03/09 00 UTC: 31.8S/57.7E, MAX WIND=050KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2006/03/09 12 UTC: 35.0S/61.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2006/03/10 00 UTC: 37.5S/65.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/10 12 UTC: 40.0S/70.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2006/03/11 00 UTC: 42.0S/75.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: DIWA HAS INCREASED SPEED OF MOVEMENT SOUTHEASTWARDS TOWARDS THE TROUGH AND SHOULD BEGIN THE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BEYOND 24 HOURS. LAST SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW A CIRRUS BOW DEPICTING AN INCREASING WESTERLY WINDSHEAR.