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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47



RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 26/11/20052006
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA)

2.A POSITION 2006/03/08 AT 1800 UTC :
WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 30.4S / 58.9E
(THIRTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/4.0 /W 1.0/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 330 SE: 600 SO: 500 NO: 270
50 KT NE: 060 SE: 120 SO: 120 NO: 060

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2006/03/09 06 UTC: 32.8S/61.2E, MAX WIND=055KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.
24H: 2006/03/09 18 UTC: 35.6S/63.7E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
36H: 2006/03/10 06 UTC: 37.1S/67.9E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
48H: 2006/03/10 18 UTC: 40.9S/74.8E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
60H: 2006/03/11 06 UTC: 44.4S/82.3E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
"DIWA" ACCELERATES ON ITS SOUTHEASTWARDS TRACK. THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS GETTING DISORGANIZED BY AN INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND "DIWA" HAS BEGUN AN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION.