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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 28/11/20052006
1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 (EX-DIWA)

2.A POSITION 2006/03/09 AT 0600 UTC :
33.7S / 60.8E
(THIRTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 500 SE: 600 SO: 300 NO: 300
50 KT NE: 300 SE: 200 SO: 150 NO: 150

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1000 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2006/03/09 18 UTC: 35.5S/64.8E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
24H: 2006/03/10 06 UTC: 37.7S/69.6E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
36H: 2006/03/10 18 UTC: 39.8S/75.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
48H: 2006/03/11 06 UTC: 42.4S/81.2E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
60H: 2006/03/11 18 UTC: 45.2S/88.5E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
72H: 2006/03/12 06 UTC: 47.2S/95.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
"EX-DIWA" HAS COMPLETED THE EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION : THE ELLIPTIC LLCC IS GETTING POORLY ORGANIZED. THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTH AND EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLES DUE TO THE MOTION OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. "EX-DIWA" KEEPS ON TRACKING EAST SOUTHEASTWARDS TOWARDS THE POLAR WESTERLY CIRCULATION.