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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 30/11/20052006
1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 (EX-DIWA)

2.A POSITION 2006/03/09 AT 1800 UTC :
WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 35.9S / 64.5E
(THIRTY FIVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 500 SE: 500 SO: 300 NO: 300
50 KT NE: 250 SE: 200 SO: 150 NO: 150

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1000 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2006/03/10 06 UTC: 37.9S/70.5E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
24H: 2006/03/10 18 UTC: 39.8S/75.9E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
36H: 2006/03/11 06 UTC: 41.5S/81.3E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
48H: 2006/03/11 18 UTC: 43.5S/88.1E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
60H: 2006/03/12 06 UTC: 45.1S/95.3E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
72H: 2006/03/12 18 UTC: EXTRATROPICAL.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
"EX-DIWA" HAS NOW AN EXTRA-TROPICAL STRUCTURE. THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTH AND MAINLY EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLES DUE TO THE MOTION OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. "EX-DIWA" KEEPS ON TRACKING EASTSOUTHEASTWARDS INTO THE POLAR WESTERLY CIRCULATION.