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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47



RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 33/11/20052006
1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 (EX-DIWA)

2.A POSITION 2006/03/10 AT 1200 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 37.5S / 72.5E
(THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 987 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 550 SE: 450 SO: 480 NO: 620

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 950 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2006/03/11 00 UTC: 40.3S/78.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
24H: 2006/03/11 12 UTC: 42.9S/85.4E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
36H: 2006/03/12 00 UTC: 45.1S/93.5E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
"EX-DIWA" HAS NOW AN EXTRA-TROPICAL STRUCTURE, MAXIMUM WINDS EXIST FAR FROM THE CENTRE.
THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT DU TO THE MOTION OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.
"EX-DIWA" KEEPS ON TRACKING EASTSOUTHEASTWARDS INTO THE POLAR WESTERLY CIRCULATION, TOWARDS SAINT-PAUL/AMSTERDAM ISLANDS IT SHOULD APPROACH DURING THE NIGHT OF THE 10 TO 11.
WINDS ARE CALIBRATED THANKS TO LAST NIGHT QUIKSCAT SWAT.
LAST SPECIFIC ADVISORY ABOUT THIS SYSTEM WHICH BE NOW MONITORED IN THE REGULAR TWELVE HOURLY MARINE BULLETINS - FQIO20 FMEE.