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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/12/20052006
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 12

2.A POSITION 2006/03/04 AT 0600 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.7S / 55.4E
(TWELVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2006/03/04 18 UTC: 13.6S/57.2E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
24H: 2006/03/05 06 UTC: 15.0S/58.9E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
36H: 2006/03/05 18 UTC: 16.7S/60.4E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.
48H: 2006/03/06 06 UTC: 18.4S/61.5E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
60H: 2006/03/06 18 UTC: 20.9S/62.0E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
72H: 2006/03/07 06 UTC: 23.7S/61.4E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: