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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 2/12/20052006
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 12

2.A POSITION 2006/03/04 AT 1200 UTC :
15.7S / 57.6E
(FIFTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /W
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2006/03/05 00 UTC: 16.8S/57.6E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
CENTER RELOCATED MORE SOUTHWARDS DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.
THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO BE ANNIHILATED BY THE PRESENCE OF THE MODERATE TROPICAL STORM DIWA IN THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GO ON WEAKENING.
LAST WARNING ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.