Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 5/13/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13 2.A POSITION 2006/04/13 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.1S / 90.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND NINETY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 040 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/04/13 12 UTC: 13.4S/89.0E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2006/04/14 00 UTC: 13.6S/88.1E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 36H: 2006/04/14 12 UTC: 13.9S/87.1E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 48H: 2006/04/15 00 UTC: 14.2S/86.1E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 60H: 2006/04/15 12 UTC: 14.5S/85.1E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 72H: 2006/04/16 00 UTC: 14.8S/84.1E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: LOCATION OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE ESTIMATED ACCORDING TO 1946Z MICRO-WAVE AQUA DATA, WICH SHOWS THAT THE CENTRE IS STILL LOCATED NORTH OF DEEP CONVECTION AND HAS STOPPPED OVER THE 90 EAST MERIDIAN DURING LAST HOURS. THE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS RATHER FAVORABLE, BUT LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS WEAK, MAINLY DUE TO A BADLY DEFINED MOONSON FLOW IN THE NORTHERN PART.