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02.62.92.11.47
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
2.A POSITION 2006/04/15 AT 1800 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.9S / 84.9E
(FIFTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST)
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /W 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 994 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 040 SE: 200 SO: 080 NO: 040
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 700 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP
2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=2.5 AND CI=2.5+
"ELIA" IS CURRENTLY UNDERGOING AN INCREASING NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THE LLCC IS NOW TOTALLY EXPOSED NORTHWEST OF DEEP CONVECTION.
THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN OVER WATER HAS IT GOES ON TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS.