Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4 97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone
02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation 02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction
02.62.92.11.47
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER : 19/13/20052006
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 13 (EX-ELIA)
2.A POSITION 2006/04/16 AT 1200 UTC :
17.8S / 82.7E
(SEVENTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY TWO DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST)
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 1.0/18 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW
2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=1.5+, CI=2.0
THE SYSTEM IS QUICKLY WEAKENING; THE LLCC IS FULLY EXPOSED NORTHWEST OF THE VERY RESIDUAL CONVECTION, DUE TO AN INCREASING NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR.
EX-ELIA SHOULD BE COMPLETELY DISSIPATED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.