Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 15/2/20062007 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (ANITA) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/01 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.4S / 42.6E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 MOINS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 995 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 050 SE: 150 SO: 150 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/01 12 UTC: 16.1S/42.7E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/12/02 00 UTC: 17.9S/43.0E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 36H: 2006/12/02 12 UTC: 19.5S/43.3E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 48H: 2006/12/03 00 UTC: 20.9S/43.2E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 60H: 2006/12/03 12 UTC: 22.1S/43.0E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 72H: 2006/12/04 00 UTC: 23.4S/42.6E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.0- THE INTENSIFICATION IS RATIFIED WITH THE MAINTAIN OF THE CDO ABOVE THE LOW LEVEL CENTER, WICH STILL A GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. NEVERTHELESS, ANITA IS TRACKING SOUTHSOUTHEASTWARDS AND THE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR SHOULD RAPIDLY BECOME MORE IMPORTANT, MAKING IT WEAKEN WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.