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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47



RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 19/2/20062007
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-ANITA)

2.A POSITION 2006/12/02 AT 0000 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.2S / 42.4E
(SIXTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.5 /W 1.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 050 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 050

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2006/12/02 12 UTC: 16.7S/42.1E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H: 2006/12/03 00 UTC: 16.9S/41.4E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATING.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=1.5- ; CI=2.5-
UNDERGOING A STRONG NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY RAPIDLY DECREASED. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE GRADUALLY.