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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 21/2/20062007
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-ANITA)

2.A POSITION 2006/12/02 AT 1200 UTC :
17.0S / 42.3E
(SEVENTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /D 0.5/6 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 070 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 050

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 1000 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2006/12/03 00 UTC: 17.7S/42.1E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
24H: 2006/12/03 12 UTC: 18.5S/42.0E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
36H: 2006/12/04 00 UTC: 19.1S/41.8E DISSIPATING.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
CONVECTION HAS REBUILT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER WESTERLY WINDSHEAR MAINTAINS, AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE GRADUALLY WITHIN A VERY UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.