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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 22/2/20062007
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-ANITA)

2.A POSITION 2006/12/02 AT 1800 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.8S / 41.8E
(SEVENTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 600 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2006/12/03 06 UTC: 18.5S/41.3E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H: 2006/12/03 18 UTC: 19.2S/41.0E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
36H: 2006/12/04 06 UTC: 19.9S/40.5E, MAX WIND=015KT, DISSIPATING.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=1.5 AND CI=2.0-
THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY BECOMES VERY FLUCTUATING AGAIN , THE SYSTEME IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE GRADUALLY WITHIN A VERY UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.