Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/3/20062007 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/19 AT 0600 UTC : 10.5S / 59.5E (TEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 976 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 100 SE: 130 SO: 130 NO: 100 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 040 SO: 040 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/19 18 UTC: 10.5S/57.2E, MAX WIND=065KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H: 2006/12/20 06 UTC: 10.3S/54.8E, MAX WIND=080KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 36H: 2006/12/20 18 UTC: 10.0S/52.3E, MAX WIND=090KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 48H: 2006/12/21 06 UTC: 10.0S/50.7E, MAX WIND=100KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 60H: 2006/12/21 18 UTC: 10.5S/49.0E, MAX WIND=110KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 72H: 2006/12/22 06 UTC: 11.4S/47.2E, MAX WIND=110KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM "BONDO" HAS RAPIDELY INTENSIFYED LAST NIGTH, WITH A BIULDING EYE THIS MORNING (CF IMAGE WINDSAT 0154Z). IT REMAINS WITHIN A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT AND IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING.