Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 9/3/20062007 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/19 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.7S / 57.4E (TEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 6.0/6.0 /D 2.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 925 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 105 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 150 SO: 150 NO: 080 50 KT NE: 040 SE: 060 SO: 060 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/20 06 UTC: 10.7S/55.3E, MAX WIND=110KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 24H: 2006/12/20 18 UTC: 10.8S/53.3E, MAX WIND=110KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 36H: 2006/12/21 06 UTC: 10.9S/51.3E, MAX WIND=110KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 48H: 2006/12/21 18 UTC: 11.0S/49.6E, MAX WIND=100KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 60H: 2006/12/22 06 UTC: 11.6S/48.0E, MAX WIND=090KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 72H: 2006/12/22 18 UTC: 12.7S/46.3E, MAX WIND=080KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=6.0+. THE SYSTEM "BONDO" HAS RAPIDELY INTENSIFYED LAST NIGTH AND TODAY MORNING DUE TO ETABLISHMENT OF A SECOND OUTFLOW CHANEL EQUATORWARDS, AND A MOONSON FLOW BECOMING MORE DIRECT. IT IS A SMALL SIZE SYSTEM WITH STRONGEST WINDS CONCENTRATED VERY CLOSED TO THE CENTER. IT REMAINS WITHIN A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT AND IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARDS, LIGHTLY INTENSIFYING, THEN SOUTHWESTWARDS AT THE END OF THE FORECAST.