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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 33/3/20062007
1.A OVERLAND DEPRESSION 3 (EX-BONDO)

2.A POSITION 2006/12/25 AT 1800 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.3S / 46.2E
(SIXTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE :
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) :

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM):
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2006/12/26 06 UTC: 17.5S/45.1E OVERLAND.
24H: 2006/12/26 18 UTC: 19.8S/43.7E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
36H: 2006/12/27 06 UTC: 22.3S/43.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.
48H: 2006/12/27 18 UTC: 24.1S/42.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.
60H: 2006/12/28 06 UTC: 25.5S/42.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.
72H: 2006/12/28 18 UTC: 26.9S/42.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM MAKES A LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY OF MAHAJUNGA AT 1215UTC.
HOWEVER HEAVY RAINFALL ARE LIKELY IN THE PERIPHERY OF "BONDO".
UNDER THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES CENTRED IN THE SOUTH OF THE MASCARENES, THE SYSTEM SHOULD TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS, GRADUALLY ACCELERATING.
BONDO IS FORECASTED TO BE BACK OVER WATER BETWEEN BESALAMPY AND MORONDAVA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.