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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 34/3/20062007
1.A OVERLAND DEPRESSION 3 (EX-BONDO)

2.A POSITION 2006/12/26 AT 0000 UTC :
WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.9S / 45.9E
(SEVENTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FIVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE :
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) :

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM):
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2006/12/26 12 UTC: 20.3S/44.3E OVERLAND.
24H: 2006/12/27 00 UTC: 22.3S/42.8E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
36H: 2006/12/27 12 UTC: 24.4S/42.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
48H: 2006/12/28 00 UTC: 26.0S/42.6E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.
60H: 2006/12/28 12 UTC: 27.0S/42.9E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.
72H: 2006/12/29 00 UTC: 27.7S/43.4E, MAX WIND=040KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM MAKES A LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY OF MAHAJUNGA THE 12/25 AT 1215UTC.
THE SYSTEM ACCELERATES SOUTHWARDS AND DISORGANIZES RAPIDLY OVER LAND.
HOWEVER HEAVY RAINFALL ARE LIKELY IN THE PERIPHERY OF "BONDO".
UNDER THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES CENTRED IN THE SOUTH OF THE MASCARENES, THE SYSTEM SHOULD TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS, GRADUALLY ACCELERATING AND SHOULD SLOW DOWN AT THE END OF THE FORECAST DUE TO THE REBUILDING HIGH PRESSURES SOUTHWESTWARD.
BONDO IS FORECASTED TO BE BACK OVER WATER IN THE VICINITY OF MORONDAVA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.