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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47



RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 35/3/20062007
1.A OVERLAND DEPRESSION 3 (EX-BONDO)

2.A POSITION 2006/12/26 AT 0600 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.5S / 45.2E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE :
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM):
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2006/12/26 18 UTC: 20.8S/44.3E, MAX WIND=025KT, OVERLAND.
24H: 2006/12/27 06 UTC: 23.0S/44.0E, MAX WIND=020KT, OVERLAND.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM HAS MADE LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY OF MAHAJUNGA THE 12/25 AT 1215UTC.
IT IS RAPIDLY DIZORGANIZING OVER LANDS, AS IT TRACKS WITH ACCELERATION SOUTHSOUTHWESTWARD.
IT SHOULD DISSIPATE OVERLAND WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
HEAVY RAINFALL STILL EXIST IN THE PERIPERY OF THE LOW.

IT IS NOT IMPOSSIBLE FOR THE RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL CENTER TO GO BACK OVER SEA IN THE VIVINITY OF MORONDAVE, EVEN IF IT IS NOT THE ACTUAL FORECAST. IF IT OCCURS, THE SYSTEM COULD RE-INTENSIFY OVER SEA.