Back to the RSMC advisories list

Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

---

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20062007
1.A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 4

2.A POSITION 2006/12/25 AT 1200 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 6.7S / 67.5E
(SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/1.5 /
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1005 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 15 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1200 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2006/12/26 00 UTC: 07.2S/65.7E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H: 2006/12/26 12 UTC: 08.1S/63.4E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
36H: 2006/12/27 00 UTC: 09.0S/61.0E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
48H: 2006/12/27 12 UTC: 09.8S/59.0E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
60H: 2006/12/28 00 UTC: 10.8S/57.5E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.
72H: 2006/12/28 12 UTC: 12.1S/55.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
CONVECTION DOES NOT SHOW ANY ORGANIZATION.
LLCC APPEARS NORTH-EAST OF THE CONVECTION.

SYSTEM INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.