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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 2/4/20062007
1.A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 4

2.A POSITION 2006/12/26 AT 0000 UTC :
WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 6.7S / 63.5E
(SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/1.5 /S 0.0/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1004 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 20 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 700 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2006/12/26 12 UTC: 07.9S/62.1E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H: 2006/12/27 00 UTC: 08.7S/59.9E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
36H: 2006/12/27 12 UTC: 09.6S/57.6E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
48H: 2006/12/28 00 UTC: 10.5S/55.9E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
60H: 2006/12/28 12 UTC: 11.4S/54.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
72H: 2006/12/29 00 UTC: 12.6S/52.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
CONVECTION DOES NOT SHOW ANY ORGANIZATION.
LLCC IS LOCATED VERY APPROXIMATELY.

SYSTEM INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.