Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 47/7/20062007 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 7 ( DORA) 2.A POSITION 2007/02/08 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 25.1S / 62.6E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 150 SE: 500 SO: 300 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2007/02/09 06 UTC: 25.7S/61.8E, MAX WIND=045KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2007/02/09 18 UTC: 26.3S/60.7E, MAX WIND=045KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2007/02/10 06 UTC: 26.7S/59.0E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2007/02/10 18 UTC: 27.4S/57.1E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2007/02/11 06 UTC: 27.9S/55.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2007/02/11 18 UTC: 28.4S/53.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: DORA IS MAKING AN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND DVORAK DOESN'T PERMIT WINDS INTENSITY ESTIMATION ANYMORE. STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED FAR IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE CONTRACTION OF THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.