Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 50/7/20062007 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 7 (EX-DORA) 2.A POSITION 2007/02/09 AT 1200 UTC : 26.5S / 61.5E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /W 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 992 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 200 SE: 600 SO: 600 NO: 150 50 KT NE: 100 SE: 200 SO: 150 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2007/02/10 00 UTC: 27.8S/59.9E, MAX WIND=050KT , EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2007/02/10 12 UTC: 29.2S/57.9E, MAX WIND=050KT , EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2007/02/11 00 UTC: 30.2S/56.2E, MAX WIND=045KT , EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2007/02/11 12 UTC: 31.2S/54.7E, MAX WIND=045KT , EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2007/02/12 00 UTC: 32.0S/53.2E, MAX WIND=045KT , EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2007/02/12 12 UTC: 33.5S/52.1E, MAX WIND=040KT , EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED FAR IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE CONTRACTION OF THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ONTHE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES, THEN EVACUATED INTO THE NEXT TROUGH.