Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 58/7/20062007 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 7 (EX-DORA) 2.A POSITION 2007/02/11 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 31.0S / 53.2E (THIRTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 987 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 350 SE: 450 SO: 450 NO: 220 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2007/02/12 00 UTC: 32.7S/50.8E, MAX WIND=040KT , EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2007/02/12 12 UTC: 35.8S/50.0E, MAX WIND=040KT , EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2007/02/13 00 UTC: 40.5S/50.0E, MAX WIND=040KT , EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED TO "EX-DORA" EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE INNER SPEED OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. "EX-DORA" IS TRACKING ON THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH BEFORE VEERING TOWARDS THE TROUGH.