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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 59/7/20062007
1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 7 (EX-DORA)

2.A POSITION 2007/02/11 AT 1800 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 32.2S / 51.5E
(THIRTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 987 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 050 SE: 450 SO: 450 NO: 050

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 1000 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2007/02/12 06 UTC: 35.0S/50.2E, MAX WIND=030KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
24H: 2007/02/12 18 UTC: 38.8S/49.6E, MAX WIND=030KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
36H: 2007/02/13 06 UTC: 42.8S/50.8E, MAX WIND=030KT, EXTRATROPICAL.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
VERY ASYMMETRICAL SYSTEM WITH STRONG WINDS EXTENDING FAR FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE INNER SPEED OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. "EX-DORA" IS TRACKING ON THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH BEFORE VEERING TOWARDS THE TROUGH.