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02.62.92.11.47
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER : 61/7/20062007
1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 7 (EX-DORA)
2.A POSITION 2007/02/12 AT 0600 UTC :
34.3S / 50.0E
(THIRTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST)
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 992 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 050 SE: 450 SO: 450 NO: 050
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW
1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2007/02/12 18 UTC: 37.4S/49.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
24H: 2007/02/13 06 UTC: 41.5S/49.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
36H: 2007/02/13 18 UTC: 45.9S/53.9E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
VERY ASYMMETRICAL SYSTEM WITH STRONG WINDS EXTENDING FAR FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE INNER SPEED OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. "EX-DORA" IS TRACKING ON THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH BEFORE VEERING TOWARDS THE TROUGH.