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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 43/9/20062007
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 9 (FAVIO)

2.A POSITION 2007/02/22 AT 1800 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.7S / 34.4E
(TWENTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /W
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE :
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 160 SE: 230 SO: 230 NO: 120
50 KT NE: 080 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 080

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM):
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2007/02/23 06 UTC: 18.8S/33.8E, MAX WIND=040KT , OVERLAND.
24H: 2007/02/23 18 UTC: 17.3S/33.2E, MAX WIND=030KT , OVERLAND.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
"FAVIO" MADE LANDFALL SLGHTLY NORTH OF VILANCULOS CITY, THE SYSTEM IS NOW BEING DISORGANIZED BY THIS LANDING. IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS ; VERY STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL MAY STILL AFFECT THE VICINITY OF BEIRA AND THE SOFALA PROVINCE FOR ANOTHER 12 TO 24 HOURS.