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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 44/9/20062007
1.A OVERLAND DEPRESSION 9 (EX-FAVIO)

2.A POSITION 2007/02/23 AT 0000 UTC :
WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.1S / 34.1E
(TWENTY DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /W
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE :
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 180 SE: 180 SO: 050 NO: 050

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM):
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2007/02/23 12 UTC: 18.7S/33.9E, MAX WIND=035KT , OVERLAND.
24H: 2007/02/24 00 UTC: 17.1S/33.7E, MAX WIND=030KT , OVERLAND.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
AFTER MAKING LANDFALL YESTERDAY BY 1000Z SLIGHTLY NORTH OF VILANCULOS CITY, "FAVIO" IS BEING DISORGANIZED GRADUALLY ; IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS. STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL MAY AFFECT THE SOFALA, INHAMBANE AND MANICA PROVINCES, AS WELL A THE EASTERN PART OF ZIMBABWE.