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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 45/9/20062007
1.A OVERLAND DEPRESSION 9 (EX-FAVIO)

2.A POSITION 2007/02/23 AT 0600 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.7S / 33.8E
(NINETEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY THREE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /W
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE :
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 050 SE: 050 SO: 050 NO: 050

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM):
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2007/02/23 18 UTC: 18.4S/33.3E, MAX WIND=025KT , OVERLAND.
24H: 2007/02/24 06 UTC: 16.7S/32.8E FILLING UP.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
AFTER MAKING LANDFALL YESTERDAY BY 1000Z SLIGHTLY NORTH OF VILANCULOS CITY, "FAVIO" IS BEING DISORGANIZED GRADUALLY AND STRONGESTS WINDS DOESN'T EXCEED 30 KT WITH GUSTS AT 40 KT EXISTING WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER.
OVER SEA ON THE COASTLINE; STRONGEST WINDS ARE LESS THAN NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS WITH GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.
IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS. STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL MAY AFFECT THE SOFALA, INHAMBANE AND MANICA PROVINCES, AS WELL A THE EASTERN PART OF ZIMBABWE.