Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 9/10/20062007 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GAMEDE) 2.A POSITION 2007/02/22 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.8S / 63.8E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 975 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 400 SE: 500 SO: 400 NO: 300 50 KT NE: 050 SE: 050 SO: 050 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2007/02/23 00 UTC: 15.2S/61.2E, MAX WIND=065KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H: 2007/02/23 12 UTC: 15.7S/58.8E, MAX WIND=070KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 36H: 2007/02/24 00 UTC: 16.2S/56.8E, MAX WIND=080KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 48H: 2007/02/24 12 UTC: 16.6S/55.4E, MAX WIND=090KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 60H: 2007/02/25 00 UTC: 17.0S/54.4E, MAX WIND=100KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 72H: 2007/02/25 12 UTC: 17.5S/53.8E, MAX WIND=105KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=4.0+ TEMPORARILLY BANDING EYE CAN BE EVIDENCED ON VISISBLE IMAGERY METEOSAT 7 (SEE AT 1000UTC), WHAT IS MORE CLEAR OVER MICRO-WAVE IMAGERU (SEE AQUA AMSRE AT 0924UTC). THE INTENSIFICATION IS GOING ON, THE SYSTEM IS AT THE THRESHOLD STAGE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION REMAINS VERY WIDE.