Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 22/10/20062007 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (GAMEDE) 2.A POSITION 2007/02/25 AT 1800 UTC : 18.5S / 53.9E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 5.5/5.5 /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 935 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 95 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 400 SE: 700 SO: 700 NO: 400 50 KT NE: 150 SE: 200 SO: 200 NO: 150 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2007/02/26 06 UTC: 19.0S/53.6E, MAX WIND=095KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 24H: 2007/02/26 18 UTC: 19.4S/53.2E, MAX WIND=100KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 36H: 2007/02/27 06 UTC: 20.0S/52.8E, MAX WIND=100KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 48H: 2007/02/27 18 UTC: 20.9S/52.1E, MAX WIND=095KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 60H: 2007/02/28 06 UTC: 21.9S/51.5E, MAX WIND=090KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 72H: 2007/02/28 18 UTC: 23.2S/50.9E, MAX WIND=085KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=5.5+ GAMEDE PRESENTS A VERY BROAD CIRCULATION, WITH AN IMPORTANT EXTENSION OF THE STRONG WINDS. RADAR OF LA REUNION IMAGERY SHOWS AN 50 TO 60 KM DIAMETER EYE. GAMEDE HAS PERFORMED A LITTLE LOOP, AND SEEMS NOW TRACK SOUTH SOUTHWESTWRADS. GAMEDE SHOULD TRACK GENERALLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARDS UNDER THE STREERING INFLUENCE OF THE MID LEVEL RIDGE CENTRED IN THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY.