Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

*************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 32/10/20062007 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (GAMEDE) 2.A POSITION 2007/02/28 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.9S / 51.5E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/4.5 /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 965 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 500 SE: 650 SO: 650 NO: 350 50 KT NE: 150 SE: 150 SO: 150 NO: 150 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1002 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2007/02/28 18 UTC: 25.7S/51.1E, MAX WIND=070KT , TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H: 2007/03/01 06 UTC: 27.2S/50.5E, MAX WIND=070KT , TROPICAL CYCLONE. 36H: 2007/03/01 18 UTC: 28.6S/50.1E, MAX WIND=065KT , TROPICAL CYCLONE. 48H: 2007/03/02 06 UTC: 29.7S/50.1E, MAX WIND=060KT , SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2007/03/02 18 UTC: 30.4S/50.4E, MAX WIND=060KT , SEVERE TROP. STORM. 72H: 2007/03/03 06 UTC: 30.9S/50.7E, MAX WIND=060KT , SEVERE TROP. STORM. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=4.5- ; CI=4.5- GAMEDE SHOWS NOW A CURVED BAND PATTERN FEATURE AND SEEMS TO INTENSIFY AGAIN SINCE FEW HOURS. DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS, "GAMEDE" ACCELERATED SLIGHTLY AND STARTED HEADING FOR SOUTH-SOUTHWEST.