Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 43/10/20062007 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 (EX-GAMEDE) 2.A POSITION 2007/03/03 AT 0000 UTC : 32.5S / 49.6E (THIRTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /W 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 975 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 300 SE: 300 SO: 350 NO: 350 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2007/03/03 12 UTC: 32.6S/50.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2007/03/04 00 UTC: 32.6S/49.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2007/03/04 12 UTC: 32.7S/49.2E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2007/03/05 00 UTC: 32.9S/48.7E, MAX WIND=030KT, DISSIPATING. 60H: 2007/03/05 12 UTC: 33.2S/47.9E, MAX WIND=030KT, DISSIPATING. 72H: 2007/03/06 00 UTC: 33.6S/46.9E, MAX WIND=030KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: GAMEDE HAS QUICKLY LOST ITS TROPICAL STRUCTURE, WITHIN A NORTHWESTERLY MODERATE BUT INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEARED ENVIRONMENT AND OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE LLCC IS NOW FULLY EXPOSED ON THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE RESIDUAL DEEP CONVECTION. CORRECTED MSLP THANKS TO BUOY 53598 LOCATED NEAR 31.5S/48.6E ON 02/0600Z. SYSTEM SEEMS TO HAVE STOP ITS WAY SOUTHWARDS, IT IS FORECAST TO STAY NEAR 32S ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH, THEN BEGIN TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER AT MEDIUM RANGE.