Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 45/10/20062007 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 (EX-GAMEDE) 2.A POSITION 2007/03/03 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 33.1S / 49.9E (THIRTY THREE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /W 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 320 SE: 380 SO: 320 NO: 320 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2007/03/04 00 UTC: 33.0S/49.5E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2007/03/04 12 UTC: 33.0S/49.0E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2007/03/05 00 UTC: 33.1S/48.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, DISSIPATING. 48H: 2007/03/05 12 UTC: 33.2S/47.9E, MAX WIND=040KT, DISSIPATING. 60H: 2007/03/06 00 UTC: 33.7S/46.9E, MAX WIND=035KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: WITHIN AN UNFAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT (STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, SST NEAR 24°C), "EX-GAMEDE" SHOWS AN EXTRA-TROPICAL STRUCTURE WITH A BROAD LOWER LAYER CLOCCKWISE CIRCULATION (CF. QUIKSCAT 0238Z AND SSMIS 0404Z). THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS SHIFTED TO THE SOUTHEAST. "EX-GAMEDE" IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY NEAR 34S ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH, WEAKENINIG GRADUALLY.