Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 48/10/20062007 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 (EX-GAMEDE) 2.A POSITION 2007/03/04 AT 0600 UTC : 32.5S / 49.7E (THIRTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 350 SE: 500 SO: 500 NO: 350 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2007/03/04 18 UTC: 31.9S/49.2E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2007/03/05 06 UTC: 32.5S/47.9E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2007/03/05 18 UTC: 32.6S/45.7E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2007/03/06 06 UTC: 33.8S/43.8E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2007/03/06 18 UTC: 36.0S/43.3E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2007/03/07 06 UTC: 38.4S/44.4E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS STILL BROAD AN WELL DEFINED WITH AN IMPORTANT EXTENSION OF THE NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS. THE MAIN THUNDERY ACTIVITY IS NORTHWARDS AWAY FROM THE CENTRE DUE TO AN IMPORTANT SOUTH HIGH LEVEL JETSTREAM WICH TRANSITS ALOFT FROM WEST TO EAST THIS DAY. THE LOW LEVEL VORTEX SHOULD GO ON TRACKING SLOWLY NORTHWARDS THIS DAYS, THEN GO DOWN WESTSOUTHWESTWARDS, BEFORE EVACUATE SOUTHEASTWARDS WITH THE TROUGH OF TUESDAY NIGHT.