Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 12/11/20062007 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (HUMBA) 2.A POSITION 2007/02/24 AT 0600 UTC : 15.6S / 79.7E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY NINE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 400 SO: 300 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 050 SE: 050 SO: 050 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2007/02/24 18 UTC: 16.8S/78.9E, MAX WIND=060KT , SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2007/02/25 06 UTC: 18.4S/78.4E, MAX WIND=065KT , TROPICAL CYCLONE. 36H: 2007/02/25 18 UTC: 20.3S/77.6E, MAX WIND=065KT , TROPICAL CYCLONE. 48H: 2007/02/26 06 UTC: 22.1S/77.2E, MAX WIND=060KT , SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2007/02/26 18 UTC: 24.1S/77.6E, MAX WIND=055KT , SEVERE TROP. STORM. 72H: 2007/02/27 06 UTC: 26.5S/78.5E, MAX WIND=050KT , SEVERE TROP. STORM. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: HUMBA SHOULD GO ON INTENSIFYING AND TRACK SOUTH SOUTHWESTWARDS, THEN SOUTHWARDS UP TO TAU48, UNDERGOING AN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.