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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47



RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 29/11/20062007
1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 (EX-HUMBA)

2.A POSITION 2007/02/28 AT 0000 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 29.8S / 78.9E
(TWENTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 975 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 350 SE: 900 SO: 900 NO: 250

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 1000 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2007/02/28 12 UTC: 30.5S/79.3E, MAX WIND=045KT .
24H: 2007/03/01 00 UTC: 31.6S/81.3E, MAX WIND=045KT .
36H: 2007/03/01 12 UTC: 32.9S/83.5E, MAX WIND=045KT .
48H: 2007/03/02 00 UTC: 34.3S/85.4E, MAX WIND=045KT .
60H: 2007/03/02 12 UTC: 35.7S/86.8E, MAX WIND=040KT .
72H: 2007/03/03 00 UTC: 37.4S/88.5E, MAX WIND=040KT .

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
"EX-HUMBA" IS NOW AN EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION, WITH A BROAD AND ASYMETTRICAL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION (STRONGEST WINDS EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE). "EX-HUMBA" IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN ON ITS CURRENT SOUTHWARDS TRACK DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS, BEFORE SHIFTING SOUTHEASTWARDS.