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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 20/12/20062007
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 12 (INDLALA)

2.A POSITION 2007/03/15 AT 1200 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.2S / 49.8E
(FIFTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 975 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 150 SE: 200 SO: 150 NO: 120
50 KT NE: 070 SE: 070 SO: 070 NO: 070

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 1000 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2007/03/16 00 UTC: 15.7S/48.6E OVERLAND.
24H: 2007/03/16 12 UTC: 16.3S/47.4E OVERLAND.
36H: 2007/03/17 00 UTC: 17.9S/46.4E OVERLAND.
48H: 2007/03/17 12 UTC: 20.3S/45.9E OVERLAND.
60H: 2007/03/18 00 UTC: 22.4S/46.4E OVERLAND.
72H: 2007/03/18 12 UTC: 24.5S/48.4E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED WEAKENING SIGNIFICANTLY WITHIN 12 HOURS AND BEGINNING TO DISSIPATE OVERLAND.
ITS RESTS SHOULD HOWEVER COME BACK OVER SEA IN THE SOUTHEAST OF MALAGASY WITHIN 72 HOURS.