Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4 97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone
02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation 02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction
02.62.92.11.47
*************** CORRECTIVE **************
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
IT IS A SMALL SIZE SYSTEM (ALMOST MIDGET), ITS MINIMAL CENTRAL PRESSURE IS HIGHER THAN IT SHOULD BE FOR AN "NORMAL" SIZE SYSTEM OF EQUIVALENT INTENSITY.
IT KEEPS ON TRACKING REGULARY WESTSOUTHWESTWARDS, ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES BELT.
JAYA IS FORCASTED TO KEEP ON INTENSIFYING, DUE TO FAVORABLE CONDITIONS.
IT SHOULD RECURVE NORTHWESTWARDS BEYOND THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS, TOWARDS THE NORTHERN MALAGASY COASTLINES, UNDER INFLUENCE OF MID-LEVEL HIGHS WICH SHOULD BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF MADAGASCAR.