Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/1/20072008 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 2.A POSITION 2007/10/12 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.7S / 60.2E (NINE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1005 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2007/10/12 18 UTC: 10.5S/58.5E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H: 2007/10/13 06 UTC: 11.0S/56.7E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CI=T=2.0- THIS FIRST TROPICAL LOW OF THE 2007-2008 SEASON, STILL POORLY ORGANIZED, HAS A WEAK POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION. THE CENTER OF THE CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS EXPOSED ON THE VISIBLE METEOSAT IMAGERY, LOCATED ON THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF DEEP CONVECTION CLUSTER (THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY). AT THIS INTENSITY, THE SYSTEM DOESN'T JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.