Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 22/3/20072008 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 (EX-BONGWE) 2.A POSITION 2007/11/23 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.0S / 67.3E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /W 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 997 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 050 SE: 150 SO: 120 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2007/11/24 06 UTC: 13.1S/66.0E, MAX WIND=027KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2007/11/24 18 UTC: 13.6S/64.7E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 36H: 2007/11/25 06 UTC: 14.3S/62.9E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 48H: 2007/11/25 18 UTC: 15.4S/60.9E, MAX WIND=020KT, FILLING UP. 60H: 2007/11/26 06 UTC: 16.6S/59.1E, MAX WIND=020KT, FILLING UP. 72H: 2007/11/26 18 UTC: 17.6S/57.5E, MAX WIND=020KT, FILLING UP. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0+ AND CI=2.5 "BONGWE" KEEPS ON WEAKENING AND HAS BEEN DOWGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS. LATEST FIX SUGGEST THAT TRACK MAY HAVE BEGIN TO RECUR WESTWARDS AT A LITTLE FASTER MOTION (7 NOEUDS). THIS ADVISORY IS BASICALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ONE. THE RESIDUAL LOW SHOULD GRADUALLY FILL UP AS TIME PASSES DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. BONGWE HAS MAINTAINED ITS CURRENT WESTNORTHWESTWARD MOTION BUT IS EXPECTED TO PROGRESSIVELY CURVE WESTSOUTHWESTWARDS BEYOND 24H AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE GRADUALLY WEAKENS TO THE SOUTH.