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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 5/7/20072008
1.A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 7

2.A POSITION 2008/01/08 AT 1200 UTC :



3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.0/1.0 /W 0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE :
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 20 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1007 HPA / 700 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE LOW ORIGINALLY MONITORED HAS DISSIPATED IN THE NORTHWEST OF REUNION ISLAND. A MESOSCALE VORTEX HAS DYNAMICALLY FORMED LEEWARDS OF REUNION ISLAND, LOCATED NEAR 22.3S/54.9E AT 1200Z, CURRENTLY DISCONNECTED FROM THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED TO THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER THAT REMAINS NORTH OF THE MASCARENES ISLANDS.
IT IS POSSIBLE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY REBUILDS TEMPORARILY OVER THIS NEW LOW, BUT ENVIRONMENT REMAINS UNFAVORABLE AND POTENTIAL INTENSIFICATION POOR (VERTICAL WINDSHEAR REMAINS RATHER FAIR, RATHER COOL SSTS, NO POLEWARDS LOW LEVEL INFLOW)


THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.