Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

*************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 31/8/20072008 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 8 (EX-FAME) 2.A POSITION 2008/02/01 AT 0600 UTC : 23.4S / 56.0E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /W 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 996 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 240 SE: 050 SO: 170 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1000 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2008/02/01 18 UTC: 27.3S/56.8E, MAX WIND=030KT , EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2008/02/02 06 UTC: 31.7S/56.0E, MAX WIND=025KT , DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0, CI=2.5- STRONG WINDS ARE MAINLY LOCATED WITHIN A BELT FAR FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHEASTREN QUADRANT DUE TO THE SPEED OF DEPLACEMENT, AND IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT DUE TO THE GRADIANT. THERE IS NO ORGANIZED ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTOM OR HEAVY RAINFALL. THE SYSTEM IS MAKING A LOOP TOWARDS THE TROPICAL STORM GULA, WHICH IS TRACKING QUIKCLY SOUTHWARDS. IT SHOULD EVACUATE SOUTHWARDS RAPIDLY AND DISSIPATE IN THE TROUGH OF GULA.